Case Study: Growing ADR in a High-Supply Market

How a well-run serviced-apartment property in central Ljubljana grew ADR by about 25% and room revenue by about 31% in three years (2026 FC vs 2023), starting from close to 90% occupancy.

This case study shows how a well-run serviced-apartment property in central Ljubljana grew its rate and room revenue three years in a row, starting from close to 90% occupancy, with no renovations and more new rooms opening in the city every year.

The property is not named. Results are shown as percentages or indexed to a base year.

Starting Point

We started working with the property in March 2024. This was not a rescue job. The owner is an experienced hotelier, largely self-taught, who knew the PMS and the OTA extranets inside out. Core revenue management practices were already in place, and 2023 was a strong year by any market standard, with occupancy at 89.5%.

So the brief was clear: find incremental, sustainable upside in an operation that was already doing most things right.

Market Reality: Rising Supply in Ljubljana

Over the past few years, Ljubljana has seen a significant increase in accommodation supply:

  • ~3,900 hotel rooms currently in the city
  • ~1,700+ short-term rental units
  • ~1,000 new hotel rooms added between 2019 and 2024
  • ~500 additional rooms already planned or under development
CategoryHotel roomsRooms in the city centreHotels in the city centreHotels outside the city centre
5*53453430
4*2,4621,3821913
3*8255321211
Budget89002
Total3,9102,4483426
Hotel supply in Ljubljana by category, October 2025. Source: Ljubljana Tourism.

In a market like this, ADR growth gets harder every year, especially for a property that is already full most nights.

Results

All figures below are for the whole property, room revenue excluding VAT.

Room revenue indexADR indexIndex: 2023 = 100
100.0
108.3
117.1
130.9
100.0 104.1 109.4 125.1
2023Occ. 89.5%2024Occ. 92.8%2025Occ. 95.8%2026 FCOcc. 93.7%
Whole property, room revenue excluding VAT. 2023 to 2025 actual. 2026 FC = January to September actual plus October to December forecast, as of 1 October 2026.
YearOccupancyADR indexRoom revenue indexRevPAR index
2023 actual89.5%100.0100.0100.0
2024 actual92.8%104.1108.3108.0
2025 actual95.8%109.4117.1117.1
2026 FC93.7%125.1130.9130.9
Index: 2023 = 100. 2026 FC = January to September actual plus our October to December forecast, as of 1 October 2026. 2023 occupancy is calculated from the property’s 2023 room revenue and ADR.

Two things stand out. Occupancy went up first: from 89.5% in 2023 to 92.8% in 2024 and 95.8% in 2025, and around 94% this year (FC). After that, the growth came from rate. By the end of 2026 we expect ADR to be about 25% above 2023 and room revenue about 31% higher (2026 FC).

Key point:
ADR growth was achieved without any product upgrades or investments, purely through pricing, restriction and channel optimisation.

Summer: Full Every Year, So the Rate Had to Do the Work

From June to September the property was practically sold out in all three years, with occupancy between 99.5% and 99.7%. There was simply no more volume to win in those months. ADR in the same four months grew by almost 20% between 2024 and 2026.

Bar chart: June to September ADR indexed to 2024 = 100. 2025: 109.9, 2026: 119.5, with occupancy above 99% in all three years.

2026 So Far

January to September 2026 against the same months of 2025, both actual: room revenue +11.0%, ADR +13.0% and RevPAR +11.0%. Occupancy came in 1.7 points lower. All of that drop was in January and February, where ADR was 23% higher than a year before and room revenue still grew.

Year After Year

The same nine months, compared year after year:

Whole propertyJan-Sep 2024Jan-Sep 2025Jan-Sep 2026
Occupancy91.8%96.1%94.4%
ADR index100.0102.8116.2
Room revenue index100.0107.2119.0
RevPAR index100.0107.6119.5
Room revenue after commission, index100.0108.2120.4
Room nights booked 30+ days ahead38.0%29.3%49.8%
One-night stays, share of stays60.0%54.9%53.8%
Non-refundable, share of room nights18.6%17.9%21.7%
Website, share of room revenue4.8%6.4%6.3%
All actual, January to September of each year, room revenue excluding VAT. Index: Jan-Sep 2024 = 100.

What Drove the Performance

ADR-first strategy
Focus shifted from “filling the calendar” to selling the right nights at the right price, particularly during compression and shoulder periods.

Smarter restriction management

  • Refined minimum stays and arrival/departure rules
  • Better calendar compression
  • Higher revenue density per available night

Healthier bookings

  • Half of the room nights in January to September 2026 were booked at least 30 days ahead, up from 38% in 2024: a steadier base to price from
  • One-night stays down from 60% to 54% of stays; stays of three nights or more up from 14% to 18%
  • Average length of stay up from 1.70 to 1.78 nights
  • Non-refundable share of room nights up from 18.6% to 21.7%. Non-refundable bookings cancel at 3-4% of room nights, flexible ones at 20-25%

A broader channel mix

  • Expedia grew from 3.6% to 10.0% of room revenue (Jan-Sep 2024 vs 2026), at the highest ADR of the main channels
  • Booking.com went from 65.6% to 62.7% of room revenue, so the property depends less on a single channel
  • The website grew from 4.8% to 6.3% of room revenue; still a small slice, and the clearest lever for the next two years
  • Commission went from 14.6% to 13.6% of room revenue, so room revenue after commission grew 20% between Jan-Sep 2024 and Jan-Sep 2026

Every day of the week earned more

  • Friday and Saturday ADR up 21% between Jan-Sep 2024 and Jan-Sep 2026
  • Sunday to Thursday ADR up 14% over the same period

Why This Case Matters

In a city where accommodation supply keeps growing, ADR discipline is the true differentiator.

This case shows that:

  • High occupancy does not equal optimal revenue
  • Even a property run by an experienced, hands-on owner has untapped upside
  • Structured revenue management delivers measurable gains without CAPEX

Looking Ahead

With a higher ADR base, a growing website and better booking behaviour, the property is well positioned to keep growing in 2027, even as the Ljubljana market gets more competitive.

Curious what the numbers could look like for your property? Book a free Performance Assessment Call.

Figures: whole property, room revenue excluding VAT. 2023 to 2025 and January to September 2026 are actuals; October to December 2026 is our forecast (FC) as of 1 October 2026. 2023 occupancy is calculated from the property’s 2023 room revenue and ADR.